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MAT118

Page history last edited by Steve Peterson 10 years, 11 months ago

MAT 118: Applied Statistics

Saint Joseph’s University Spring 2013

Section D03: Tuesday/Thursday 4:00-5:15

BL 221

 

Instructor:       Mr. Steve Peterson

Phone:               484-868-3050

Office Hours:    by appointment

e-mail:         speterso@sju.edu

 

Syllabus

 

StatsPortal

 

StatCrunch on-line statistical computation software package

 

Final Project Due 5/6

 

ID: wikipeterson

PW: fords200

 

sing up for celly

 

Date

Topics

Class Activities

Assignments

1/15

Chapter 1 - Picturing Distributions With Graphs1.1 Introduction to Statistics, Variables, and Data

Identify variables and individuals in studies

Distinguish Categorical and Quantitative Variables

Decide whether a variable is valid

1.2 Pie Charts and Bar Graphs

Create and interpret Bar Graphs and Pie Charts

Lecture slides

WS Handout: 1-1, 1-2, 1-4, 1-6


Graph of the Day:

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/2010/12/american_misperceptions_of_for.html


Dolphin Study

Randomization Applet


Read syllabus

Register for Stats Portal


Read Chapter 1 -- Take notes while you read and work out the examples in the readings. Write down any questions you may have on the material.

Do the Check Your Skills problems (1.13 - 16)

1/17 1.3 - 1.5

Graphs for Distributions of Quantitative Variables

Construct and interpret
dotplots,
histograms,
stemplots,
timeplots

Graph of the Day:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:World_religions_pie_chart.png

 

Plot #states visited on a dotplot

Construct stemplot and histogram of states

 

Enter state data in statcrunch

 

Example data sets:

Compare  in Statcrunch with regard to tendency and consistency

FebTemps

Seatbelt (compare study design to dolphin study)

 

Discuss key features: center. spread, shape, peaks and clusters, outliers
7-1 to 7-3

Complete graded assignment #1 in StatsPortal. (You will have 3 attempts to do this assignment. Your score will be the average of the 3 attempts.)

Review all the terms in the Chapter 1 summary

Read Chapter 2
       
1/22

 

Chapter 2 - Describing Distributions With Numbers

Measures of Center: Mean and Median

Graph of the day:

http://blogs-images.forbes.com/naomirobbins/files/2012/08/Bush_cuts2.png

 

Do 7-4,5

 

Typical Class Sizes

Measures of Center 8-1, 8-2, 8-3, 8-4, 8-5, 8-7

Graph of the Day:

 


Graded Assignment #1 Due


Review all the terms in the Chapter 2 summary

Do AYK questions: 2.1 - 2.14 (or just the ones where the answers are given)

1/24

 

Measures of Spread: range, IQR, 

standard deviation


The 5-Number Summary


Why your friends (probably) have more friends than you do

 

 

do not cross a river that is on average 4 feet deep

 

Measures of Spread

9-1, 9-2, 9-3,4

 

 

 

demo uploading data for 2.46


 Read Chapter 3

 


Do 3.1-3.14 (or just the ones where the answers are given)

       

1/29

 

 

Boxplots

Identifying Suspected Outliers

 

Graph of the day

http://go.bloomberg.com/multimedia/americas-growing-income-gap-shows-two-recoveries-in-action/

 

http://www.globalrichlist.com/

 

do 9-5,6

 

Boxplots
10-1, 10-2, 10-3

 

 

Backpack weights analysis in statcrunch

 

 

 

Complete Graded Assignment #2




Read ch 3

1/31

 

Chapter 3 - 
The Normal Distribution

Finding the area under the curve

Finding the value for a given proportion or percentile

 

Graph of the day:

Jurassic Park Graphs

 

Normal Curve Calculation examples

 

Normal Distribution

Do 12-1, 12-2, 12-4

 

 

 

Graded Assignment #2 Due

 

read ch 4

       
2/5

 Chapter 4 - Scatterplots and Correlationdescribe the direction, strength, and form of an association


compute and interpret the correlation coefficient
 

 

correlation cartoon

 

 

review normal curve calculations

Scatterplots
Do 26-1 through 26-6

Correlation
Do 27-1 through 27-5

 

 

 

Play "guess the correlation" (27-4)

Read Chapter 4


Do 4.1 to 4.13

 

 

xkcd cartoon

 

work on graded assignment #3

 

2/7

 

 

Chapter 5 - Regression

 

 

 

 

 

Cancer rates and small schools

 

 

WS 28-1 to 28-4

 

Regression app
Line of best fit

 


SPSS regression notes


SAT scores by state part 1

xkcd cartoon

Check Your Skills Problems for ch 1-4

exam 1 review with answers.pdf

Exam 1 study guide

       

2/12

 





Graph of the day

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Prisoner_population_rate_world_map.png

 

 

Review for Exam 1

MLB data
example for normal curve calculations

 

http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/en/eric_mead_the_magic_of_the_placebo.html

 

Graded Assignment #3 Due

 

Read Chapter 5
Do 5.1 - 5.16

 
xkcd cartoon

2/14


EXAM #1 

Covers Chapters 1 through 4

 

 




       

2/19

 

More Regression Considerations 

R squared

Graph of the Day:

http://graphjam.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/funny-graphs-what-about-the-hipsters-that-use-bing-ironically.png 

 
demo influential points and nonlinear patterns


SAT by state
part 2


applet

 


AZT and HIV

 

exam 1 with answers.htm

 

complete graded assignment #4

Read Chapter 6

2/21

Chapter 6 - Two Way Tables

  

Chapter 8: Producing Data: Sampling

 

Race and the Death Penalty

 

Hypothetical Hospital Recovery Rates

 

Observational Studies and Bias in Sampling

WS topic 3-1, 3-3, 3-4

 




do AYK 6.1 - 6.7


Read Chapter 8

       

2/26

Chapter 9: Producing Data: Experiments

Graph of the Day:

http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/eco_pop_bel_med_inc-economy-population-below-median-income

 

JellyBlubbers


Statistical Darts


Memorizing Letter Sequences

 


Graded Assignment #4 Due

 

Do AYK 8.1-8.15




2/28

 

Graph of the day:

http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/06/hey-everyone-dont-fall-for-this-misleading-graph-about-college-costs/258299/

 

design an experiment to test the efficacy of prayer

 

Graph of the Day: STEP experiment.pdf

 

How big is your family.pptx

 

 

Yawning
Myth Busters

video clip

 

WS 5-1 to 5-4

 

Kramer in Strength Shoes

Randomization of Subjects Applet

 

Monty Hall Problem in 21 Movie

 

complete graded assignment #5

Read Chapter 9

Do all AYK's from ch9

 
       
  spring break    
       
3/12

 Chapter 10:
Probability

Law of Large Numbers: in a large number of trials, the average will be close to the expected value

Graph of the Day:

Daylight Savings Time:

 

weather NYC 09.docx

 

Powerpoint Ch 10

 

Fair Game? (Spinner)

Expected Value for SAT guessing

 

law of large numbers.docx

 

Monty Hall explanation

Probability examples using deck of cards

Expected Value for Roulette versus lottery

How to win at roulette
Rolling Dice Probability Distribution

Discrete Versus Continuous distributions (uniform, normal)

Law of Large Numbers versus Law of Averages

collect data for anchoring effect

 

 

 

Read Ch 10

Do all AYK's in Ch 10

3/14

  Chapter 11:
Sampling Distributions

 

misleading graph.pptx


 

The Texas Sharpshooter’s Fallacy.pptx

 

Sampling Pennies Applet

 WS 14-1 to 14-2

 

 

 

  Read Ch 11 and do all AYK's

 

Do exam 2 review in stats portal

 

 

       

3/19

 

Review for Exam 2

 

 Exam 2 Topics

 

misleading graph2.pptx

 

Linda is a bank teller.pptx

 

  Graded Assignment #5 Due

 
 Do Check Your Skills problems for chapters 5,6,8,9,10 as review problems

 

 

3/21


exam 2


 

Covers Chapters 5,6,8,9,10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

       

3/26

  Chapter 12:
Probability Rules

 

 

 

 

Probability models: tables, tree diagrams, area diagrams

misleading graph3.pptx

 onion graph.docx

 

go over test

 

Probability Rules

 30-1, 30-2

 

"one and one"

 

30-3,4,5

 

 

Read Chapter 12
and do all AYK's

 

 Read Ch 13 and do all AYK's

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3/28

 

 

No class


 

       

4/2

 

Chapter 13:
Binomial Probability Distribution 

 

 

 

socks.pptx

Medical Diagnosis

 

ELISA test

 

How Statistics Fool Juries

 

 

 

-If the Phillies have a 60% chance of beating the Cardinals on any game, what is the probability that they lose a five game series?

 

 

 

xkcd cartoon

 

 

Read 566-579 and do AKY questions

 

Complete Graded Assignment #6 for Thursday

4/4

Chapter 14:

Confidence Intervals

 

misleading graph4.pptx

 

ch 11 examples

 

Binomial Probability Notes

 

ESP test

 

Ch 14 lecture slides

 

 

 

Graded Assignment #6 Due

 

 

 

 Read ch 15 and do all AKY questions

 

 

 

 

 

 

4/9

Chapter 15:
Tests of Significance

 

xkcd cartoons.pptx

 

Continue Ch 14 lecture slides

 

Simulating Confidence Intervals

 

 

Ch 15 Lectures slides 

 

Hypothesis tests

 

 

 

Exam 3 Practiced test to be posted on 4/10

 

 

Exam 3 Content

Chapters 11-15

 

4/11

 

 

 

 

Introduce Final Project Due 5/6

 

review for exam 3


 

 

 

       

4/16

 

EXAM #3

Covers Chapters 11, 12, 13, 14, 15

  
do the Check Your Skills problems for review


Graded Assignment #7 Due 

4/18


 Chapter 16: Inference in Practice

 

 

Graph of the Day:

http://www.babynamewizard.com/

 

Bonus GOTD

 

Go over test

 

project ideas?

Dolphin Study

Memorizing Letter Sequences

Anchoring Experiment

 

 

Example z-test, z-interval:

Suppose that in a particular geographic region, the mean and standard deviation of scores on a reading test are 100 points, and 12 points, respectively. Our interest is in the scores of 55 students in a particular school who received a mean score of 96. We can ask whether this mean score is significantly lower than the regional mean — that is, are the students in this school comparable to a simple random sample of 55 students from the region as a whole, or are their scores surprisingly low?

 

 

 

Read Chapter 16

 

Come up with an idea for an experiment you could carry out for your project.

 

 

 

 

4/23  

 

Graph of the Day

healthcare.docx

 

Example: BodyTemps data in statcrunch

 

"Does the average body temperature of healthy adults differ from 98.6?" Run a z-test!

 

"Do males and females differ with regard to to average body temperature?"

Run a randomization test! 

Statcrunch>Applets>Resampling>Randomization Test for Two Means

 

 

Ch 16 slides

 

Balance of Type I and Type II errors in criminal courts, welfare, pregnancy test, drug test, test for a disease, etc.

 

Statistical Power

 

Reaction time app:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/science/humanbody/sleep/sheep/reaction_version5.swf

Construct boxplots comparing dominant versus non-dominant hand average times

 

Course/Teacher Evaluations

 

 
4/25  

 

Graph of the Day:

http://web.ncf.ca/jim/ref/inconvenientTruth/index.html

 

 

Last day of class!!!

 

Topics to Review for Final Exam

 

 

 

 

 
Final Exam Review 118.docx

 

Final Exam Review 118 answers.docx

       
4/30    no class
 
5/2  

 

no class

 

 
       
5/6
FINAL EXAM

Final Project Due 5/6 

 

Final exam is cumulative

 

The exam is on Monday 5/6 at 11:30 am in MH 316

Graded Assignment #8 due (optional)

 

****************************************

Final Exam 118 spring 2013 answers.docx

 

 

 

 

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